What
is Market Risk?
Because
investments can rise or fall unexpectedly, the primary
risk associated with an investment (the market risk)
is characterized by the variability of returns produced
by that investment. For example, an investment with
a low variability of return is a savings account with
a bank (low market risk). The bank pays a highly predictable
interest rate. That interest rate also happens to be
quite low. An internet stock is an investment with a
high variability of return; it might quintuple, and
it might fall 50% (high market risk).
The standard way to calculate the market risk of investing
in a particular security is to calculate the standard
deviation of its past prices. [Top]
What
is risk tolerance and why is it so important?
Risk
tolerance basically is the amount of psychological pain
you're willing to suffer from your investments. For
example, if your risk tolerance is high, you might feel
fairly comfortable investing in futures contracts or
other types of securities that can go up and down like
a roller-coaster. But if your tolerance for risk is
low, you should stick to more conservative investments
that aren't subject to wide swings in value. No investment
is worth losing sleep over. [Top]
How
can diversification reduce my risk?
Portfolio
risk can be reduced by diversification. The components
of total risk are company risk (also called unsystematic
risk), which can be reduced through diversification,
and market risk (also called systematic risk), which
can't. To illustrate, say all of your money was wrapped
up in the stock of XYZ Corp., the largest widget maker
in the world. XYZ is a fine firm, but this is still
a risky proposition. First, XYZ's stock could be adversely
affected by weakness in the overall stock market. This
is market risk. Second, the stock could suffer if the
widget industry falls on hard times. This is industry
risk (unique to the industry, not the market as a whole).
And third, XYZ stock could tumble for reasons unique
to the company -- an unexpected shutdown of its plants,
the loss of a key customer, or even the death of one
of its key executives. This is company risk. About 70%
of the risk you face as an investor is company risk.
If
you instead had a little of your money in XYZ Corp.'s
stock, a little money in a diversified mutual fund that
owns several stocks, a little money in bonds and a little
in real estate, the chances of your portfolio plunging
suddenly would be greatly reduced. [Top]
What
types of investments tend to have the highest risks?
It's
difficult to lump different types of investments into
broad risk categories, in part because the way you invest
in them could increase or decrease your risk. For example,
buying futures contracts on commodities is generally
considered one of the riskiest investments you can make.
But that risk is greatly reduced if you instead purchase
options on those futures or you use derivatives to completely
hedge spot (cash) positions. Since risk is based on
volatility and uncertainty, buying futures contracts
themselves would certainly be included in anyone's definition
of high-risk investing. Other investments that should
be left generally to risk-oriented traders include financial
derivatives, junk bonds, speculative stocks and the
mutual funds that buy them. Precious metals have traditionally
been considered high-risk investments, although the
value of gold and silver has traded in a fairly narrow
range over the past couple of years. [Top]
What
are some very low-risk investments?
Virtually
risk-free investments include U.S. Treasury bonds, bills
and notes, which are backed by the full faith and credit
of the U.S. government, and deposits at banks where
accounts are insured for up to $100,000 by the Federal
Deposit Insurance Corp. But these investments protect
only against the risk you won't get your money back.
There's also inflation risk to consider. For example,
if you buy a five-year, 5% certificate of deposit covered
by FDIC insurance, and inflation soars to 10% , your
principal will be losing 5% of its purchasing power
each year. Also, Treasury bonds are risk-free only from
a default basis. Treasury bond prices still move inversely
to changes in interest rates. So there's really no such
thing as a risk-free investment. [Top]
What
are the risks of a mutual fund?
There
are several risks. The main one is that the companies
in which the fund has invested will perform poorly,
suffer mismanagement or otherwise meet with misfortune.
Another big risk is that some economic, political or
other development will cause the overall market to fall,
dragging down with it the holdings of your particular
fund. These are risks you would face investing in individual
stocks as well; at least mutual funds can offer diversification.
But some risks are unique to mutual funds. The fund
management, for instance, may be doing things you don't
know about or wouldn't like if you did. What you think
is a plain vanilla domestic equity-income fund might,
in order to boost returns, invest in derivatives, invest
overseas, or invest in growth companies that pay little
or no dividend. In a downturn, you could be in for an
unpleasant surprise. There is also the risk that the
fund will under perform a benchmark index, which means
that management fees aren't buying any added value.
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